Why 10-year Treasury yield’s recent drop could be a recession indicator MarketWatch DoubleLine Says Fed Rate Cuts Will Lead to Steeper Yield Curve Bloomberg.com Yield Curve Steepening Implications For The Income Market Seeking Alpha Explainer: What does a steep US yield curve mean for banks and the economy? Reuters The Market’s Smoke Alarm: What the Yield Curve Is Telling Traders in 2025 InvestorPlace Source link
Read More »Tag Archives: recession
Recession warning: just a few industries are driving job growth, Zandi says
Vital signs for the labor market indicate that it’s getting sicker, and the healthcare sector is one of the few that is keep it from looking even worse. The latest jobs report revealed the U.S. economy added just 22,000 jobs in August with revisions to prior months showing June actually saw a decline. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate edged up to a four-year …
Read More »UBS gives America a recession check-up and sees a 93% recession probability, ‘soggy’ economy ahead
There are certain words you don’t want to hear in a medical checkup or in an investment bank’s recession outlook: “stable but elevated.” It’s a phrase that could refer to blood pressure, even risk of a heart attack, a favorite metaphor of hedge fund legend Ray Dalio, or in UBS’s evaluation, risk of a recession. The bank found that from …
Read More »Barclays: U.S. economy in stall state, 50% recession risk in 2 years – Investing.com
Barclays: U.S. economy in stall state, 50% recession risk in 2 years Investing.com A third of the U.S. economy is already in a recession or at high risk, and another third is stagnating, Zandi warns Fortune Moody’s chief economist says some states are in recession Quartz US recession under Trump is 50-50, warns Barclays The Telegraph Clouds on the Horizon Midcoast Villager Source link
Read More »Recession specials could be the latest sign of deteriorating consumer sentiment
A sign outside Brooklyn coffee shop Clever Blend offers a $6 gelato and espresso “recession special.” Lisa Kailai Han | CNBC As fears of a slowing economy lurk in the background, some businesses are taking notice and bringing back so-called recession specials. Look up the term “recession specials” through Google’s search engine, and the list of results will include entries …
Read More »Recession Outlook: Mark Zandi on What He Sees Ahead for the US Economy
Mark Zandi sees trouble ahead for the US economy. The Moody’s Analytics chief economist recently predicted in a post on X that the US economy is on the brink of recession following some of the latest economic data. While Zandi later noted that he doesn’t think the US economy is in a recession yet, there are certain industries that have …
Read More »Job market gloom hasn't been this bad since the Great Recession – Axios
Job market gloom hasn’t been this bad since the Great Recession AxiosView Full Coverage on Google News Source link
Read More »This unprecedented shift in unemployment suggests AI could strand white-collar knowledge workers in a jobless recovery after the next recession
Businesses trying to do more with less have historically leaned on automation during recessions, but the advent of generative AI could scramble the typical pattern of winners and losers when the next downturn strikes. While white-collar knowledge workers have previously not suffered from severe recession-induced layoffs or jobless recoveries, the next time could be different, JPMorgan senior U.S. economist Murat …
Read More »The jobs report that enraged Trump was flashing a recession warning sign
Facebook Tweet Email Link The bad news in last Friday’s jobs report may have been overshadowed when President Donald Trump fired the commissioner in charge of producing it. But economists haven’t forgotten about America’s job market – and they’re growing concerned. Some of the jobs report data has economists using a word they haven’t uttered in several months: recession. Hiring …
Read More »US Economy Is ‘on the Precipice’ of a Recession, Mark Zandi Says
2025-08-04T14:57:57Z Share Facebook Email X LinkedIn Reddit Bluesky WhatsApp Copy link lighning bolt icon An icon in the shape of a lightning bolt. Impact Link Save Saved Read in app This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Become an Insider and start reading now. Have an account? Log in. Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s, has a grim …
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