Tag Archives: probability

How do scientists calculate the probability that an asteroid could hit Earth?

How do scientists calculate the probability that an asteroid could hit Earth?

This article was originally published at The Conversation. The publication contributed the article to Space.com’s Expert Voices: Op-Ed & Insights I was preparing for my early morning class back in January 2025 when I received a notice regarding an asteroid called 2024 YR4. It said the probability it could hit Earth was unusually high. As defending Earth from unexpected intruders …

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