In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now, while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters.
Batters
Ramón Laureano: The most unappreciated hitter so far this season. In just 241 PA, he has 11 HR, 4 SB, and a .279 AVG. Started in 16 straight games.
Ha-Seong Kim 김하성: Started in six of the last seven games. He might be too passive with a 27% K% (career-high) but just a 6.7% SwStr%. Still worth adding to see if he returns to his old form.
Jake Mangum: Continues to start and hit in the middle of Tampa’s lineup with a .311 AVG (12% K%, .351 BABIP) and 14 SB.
Brady House: Posting a .771 OPS in July after a .556 OPS in June. His strikeouts are down (25% K% to 20% K%) while his power is up (.058 ISO to .178 ISO).
Luke Keaschall: Started his rehab assignment and should be joining the team soon. The biggest issue will be playing time with Clemens and Castro having productive seasons.
Andrew Vaughn: Starts two games with Jake Bauers starting the next one. With the Brewers, he has 2 HR and a .353 AVG while cutting his strikeout rate from 22% K% to 15% K%.
Angel Martínez: He has started eleven straight games with a .917 OPS during that stretch. For the season, he has a .239 AVG with 8 HR and 6 SB.
Mickey Moniak: Strong-side platoon bat with 13 HR, 5 SB, and a .261 AVG on the season.
Lenyn Sosa: Solid bench bat with 9 HR and a .266 AVG.
Max Muncy (ATH): With Gelof’s demotion, Muncy has started three straight at second base. While Muncy has been a solid source of power (9 HR), he’s struggling to hit for average (31% K%, .215 AVG).
Dominic Canzone: Remains a strong-side platoon bat who has cut his strikeout rate from 28% K% last season to a 18% K% this year. So far has a .319 AVG (.338 BABIP) with 6 HR.
Romy Gonzalez: Short-side platoon bat. When he does play, he can be productive (.326/.364/.582, 5 HR, 4 SB).
Hyeseong Kim 김혜성: He doesn’t have a full-time job with just six starts in the last 10 games. When he does play, he’s been a decent source of batting average (.342 AVG, .451 BABIP) and speed (11 SB).
Masataka Yoshida: Part-time DH-only bat with a 64% GB% so far. Tough bat to fit on a roster.
Brice Matthews: Struggling to make contact (50% K%) with pitchers attacking him with 63% fastballs.
Catchers
Sean Murphy: Hitting for power (16 HR) and could be seeing more playing time at the DH with Ozuna likely to be traded.
Adrian Del Castillo: Two starts as the DH for Del Castillo. In the minors this year, he had 7 HR in just 131 PA. At least a bench in deeper two-catcher leagues.
Victor Caratini: Not a negative contributor with a 10 HR and a .256 AVG.
Hitting Prospects
Spencer Jones: Across two minor league levels (AA and AAA), the 24-year-old outfielder is batting .296/.399/.639 with 23 HR and 16 SB in 276 PA.
Samuel Basallo: In AAA, the 23-year-old “catcher” is batting .264/.383/.591 with 19 HR and 0 SB in 253 PA.
Kevin McGonigle: Across three minor league levels (A, A+, AA), the 20-year-old shortstop is batting .343/.437/.589 with 7 HR and 3 SB in 206 PA.
Konnor Griffin: Across two minor league levels (A and A+), the 19-year-old shortstop is batting .327/.400/.521 with 13 HR and 41 SB in 346 PA.
Owen Caissie: In AAA, the 22-year-old outfielder is batting .273/.380/.565 with 19 HR and 3 SB in 326 PA.
CBS Hitter Rostership Rates
| Name | Previous Roster% | Current Roster% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Murphy C ATL | 35% | 41% | 6% |
| Samuel Basallo C BAL | 31% | 33% | 2% |
| Brady House 3B WAS | 24% | 29% | 5% |
| Luke Keaschall DH MIN | 24% | 29% | 5% |
| Hye Seong Kim 2B LAD | 24% | 26% | 2% |
| Ha-seong Kim SS TB | 24% | 25% | 1% |
| Jake Mangum LF TB | 20% | 22% | 2% |
| Romy Gonzalez 1B BOS | 19% | 30% | 11% |
| Mickey Moniak RF COL | 19% | 22% | 3% |
| Brice Matthews 2B HOU | 18% | 20% | 2% |
| Ramon Laureano RF BAL | 17% | 22% | 5% |
| Spencer Jones CF NYY | 17% | 19% | 2% |
| Victor Caratini C HOU | 16% | 19% | 3% |
| Konnor Griffin SS PIT | 15% | 17% | 2% |
| Kevin McGonigle SS DET | 14% | 16% | 2% |
| Masataka Yoshida DH BOS | 13% | 15% | 2% |
| Andrew Vaughn 1B MIL | 12% | 18% | 6% |
| Owen Caissie OF CHC | 11% | 14% | 3% |
| Max Muncy 3B ATH | 11% | 13% | 2% |
| Lenyn Sosa 2B CHW | 8% | 12% | 4% |
| Angel Martinez CF CLE | 7% | 12% | 5% |
| Dominic Canzone RF SEA | 5% | 7% | 2% |
| Adrian Del Castillo DH ARI | 3% | 5% | 2% |
Starting Pitchers (Short time frame table from the last three weeks)
Roster in All Formats Tier (maybe not by your team, but some team should add them)
Brandon Walter: In Walter’s last start, he increased his season total in walks by 50% … from two to three. His 0.96 WHIP is helping a team’s ratio as much as a 2.33 ERA. I’m still amazed he’s so lowly rostered. Looks like he’ll be at the top again next week with just a 33% rostership rate.
Eric Lauer 라우어: A 3.50 ERA talent this year with his 19% K%-BB% coming 28th among 160 pitchers with at least 50 IP.
Jack Perkins: Perkins is expected to join the A’s rotation, so it’s time to see how his reliever stats (3.72 ERA, 3.59 xFIP, 1.03 WHIP, and 10.2 K/9) translate to starting. The 25-year-old righty has averaged over 2 IP per appearance while throwing four different pitches over 7% of the time. While his 96-mph fastball gets average results, all three of his secondary pitches (slider, cutter, change) have a swinging-strike rate over 15%. While I wouldn’t start him this week, he’s worth adding to see how his possible two-step (at TEX, at HOU) goes.
Janson Junk: There is some regression coming (0.7 BB/9, 0.2 HR/9), but he could still be a 3.75 talent. The key will be keeping the walks down.
Zebby Matthews: At the time of writing this article, Matthews hasn’t yet thrown on Saturday. Two issues surround his return. Will his walks continue because his pre-injury 1.47 WHIP (3.8 BB/9) did as much ratio damage as a 5.34 ERA? Can he go deep into games since he’s been averaging less than 5 IP per start? A lot of his demand will be determined by his first start. (Note: In his Saturday start, he allowed a .538 BABIP for the game, leading to 5 ER in 4 IP. He did have 6 K to go with 1 BB.)
Slade Cecconi: He has two secondaries (slider, curveball) with a swinging-strike rate over 17%. If he weren’t so home run prone (1.6 HR/9), his value would be higher than a 4.00 ERA talent.
Steaming Options Tier (might be from a team’s bench or waiver wire, depending on league depth)
Richard Fitts: A fine 4.00 to 4.25 ERA streaming talent with not much upside unless he develops another league-average secondary pitch.
Logan Allen로건: Since May 31st, he got his walks under control (4.7 BB/9 before, 2.8 BB/9 after) and he’s moved into the streaming options. If the walks come back, stay away.
Patrick Corbin: By maximizing his pitch mix, Corbin is back to being a 4.00 talent. The biggest adjustment was to increase the use of his changeup (15% SwStr%) to over 10% in his last three starts. Streaming option, which is more than could be said in previous seasons.
JP Sears: Before Friday’s start (6 ER, 2 HR, 6 H, 2 BB, and 5 K in 4 IP) against Cleveland, he was on a nice four-game run (2.49 ERA, 4.18 xFIP, 8.7 K/9, and 1.06 WHIP). Sears remains a streamer, but even against weak offenses like Cleveland, the start can unravel.
Simeon Woods Richardson: In the middle of an insanely lucky six-game stretch (0.6 HR/9, 87% LOB%, .179 BABIP) with no change in his talent besides throwing a splitter (14% SwStr%, 9% usage). I’d only stream in the most dire of circumstances.
Davis Daniel: Possibly with a two-start week (vs SF, vs COL). I created the small sample size data for starters like him. The STUPH models hate him. The recent results aren’t good with his fastball down at 90 mph. If a manager feels like they need to roster him, add him, but don’t start him. See how the two starts go and then make a decision on keeping or dropping him.
Unrosterable Tier (add a middle reliever instead)
Taijuan Walker: While he seems streamable with a 3.55 ERA (4.43 xFIP), his 1.30 WHIP (3.7 BB/9) is doing as much ratio damage as a 4.34 ERA. He was being added for his start against the Angels on Saturday. We’ll see how it goes. (Update. In his Saturday start, he lasted 4 IP with 9 H, 2 HR, 4 K, 1 BB, and 3 ER).
Colin Rea: He’s been on a lucky four-game run (1.90 ERA, .175 BABIP, 96% LOB%) where he has a 4.70 xFIP. At some point, he’ll regress to the 4.50 ERA pitcher he’s been for his career.
Jose Quintana: There is no reason to add a below-average arm to face the Dodgers. Of the 160 pitchers with at least 50 IP, his 6% K%-BB% ranks 154th. His 1.36 WHIP is doing as much ratio damage as a 4.69 ERA. Stay away.
Michael McGreevy: I think Erick Fedde 페디 will get a couple more starts to see if he has any trade value. McGreevy is a solid stash and will join the rotation at the latest after the trade deadline.
Rehabbing starters
I will go over all the major movers, and I’m amazed at the number of stashes, especially for pitchers who aren’t even close to returning. I understand rostering Cole in a keeper league, but he was probably never dropped.
Luis Garcia: So far, he’s thrown 4 IP in two games in the complex league. He hasn’t walked a batter yet and has 7 K.
Cristian Javier: Rehabbing in AA. He’s struggling to return with 3 ER and 5 BB in 4 IP so far.
Kyle Bradish: Close to going on a rehab assignment.
Reynaldo López: I have no idea why people are stashing Lopez; he’s not close to returning.
Gerrit Cole: Out for the season.
Pitching Prospects
Jonah Tong: In AA, the 22-year-old right has a 1.71 ERA (2.12 xFIP), 0.92 WHIP, and 14.1 K/9 in 84 IP.
Nolan McLean: Across two minor league levels (AA and AAA), the 23-year-old right has a 2.68 ERA (3.73 xFIP), 1.20 WHIP, and 10.0 K/9 in 90 IP.
CBS Starting Pitcher Rostership Rates
| Name | Previous Roster% | Current Roster% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Lauer SP TOR | 36% | 39% | 3% |
| Jose Quintana SP MIL | 33% | 35% | 2% |
| JP Sears SP ATH | 32% | 34% | 2% |
| Colin Rea SP CHC | 30% | 43% | 13% |
| Slade Cecconi SP CLE | 29% | 46% | 17% |
| Zebby Matthews SP MIN | 29% | 46% | 17% |
| Patrick Corbin SP TEX | 28% | 31% | 3% |
| Reynaldo Lopez SP ATL | 28% | 29% | 1% |
| Simeon Woods Richardson SP MIN | 27% | 31% | 4% |
| Gerrit Cole SP NYY | 27% | 29% | 2% |
| Brandon Walter SP HOU | 24% | 33% | 9% |
| Kyle Bradish SP BAL | 20% | 27% | 7% |
| Janson Junk SP MIA | 18% | 31% | 13% |
| Logan Taylor Allen SP CLE | 15% | 21% | 6% |
| Jonah Tong SP NYM | 13% | 15% | 2% |
| Michael McGreevy SP STL | 11% | 12% | 1% |
| Richard Fitts SP BOS | 11% | 12% | 1% |
| Nolan McLean RP NYM | 10% | 14% | 4% |
| Cristian Javier SP HOU | 9% | 12% | 3% |
| Jack Perkins RP ATH | 8% | 9% | 1% |
| Luis Garcia SP HOU | 7% | 9% | 2% |
| Taijuan Walker RP PHI | 5% | 8% | 3% |
| Davis Daniel SP ATL | 0% | 2% | 2% |
Small Sample Starting Pitcher Stats
| Name | IP | BotERA | Pitching+ERA | SwStr% ERA | FBv ERA | SIERA | xFIP | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Perkins | 3.1 | 3.83 | 3.69 | 2.38 | 3.77 | 2.20 | 2.62 | 3.08 |
| Richard Fitts | 8.2 | 3.46 | 3.49 | 3.44 | 3.65 | 3.06 | 2.85 | 3.32 |
| Brandon Walter | 17.0 | 3.78 | 4.00 | 3.87 | 4.35 | 2.95 | 3.19 | 3.69 |
| JP Sears | 15.0 | 3.22 | 3.90 | 4.35 | 4.26 | 3.52 | 3.80 | 3.84 |
| Janson Junk | 19.0 | 3.59 | 3.73 | 4.67 | 4.12 | 4.04 | 3.86 | 4.00 |
| Eric Lauer | 14.1 | 4.46 | 4.70 | 4.33 | 4.40 | 3.14 | 3.41 | 4.08 |
| Slade Cecconi | 21.1 | 3.88 | 4.23 | 4.63 | 4.07 | 3.98 | 3.68 | 4.08 |
| Patrick Corbin | 22.2 | 4.59 | 4.59 | 4.38 | 4.37 | 3.82 | 3.34 | 4.18 |
| Logan Allen | 18.0 | 4.59 | 4.41 | 4.99 | 4.53 | 3.83 | 3.63 | 4.33 |
| Colin Rea | 18.2 | 4.71 | 4.63 | 4.59 | 4.08 | 4.79 | 4.38 | 4.53 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson | 14.2 | 3.98 | 4.78 | 3.84 | 4.07 | 5.60 | 5.79 | 4.68 |
| Jose Quintana | 11.1 | 5.00 | 4.73 | 5.38 | 4.54 | 4.86 | 4.48 | 4.83 |
| Davis Daniel | 4.0 | 5.06 | 5.29 | 5.18 | 4.53 | 4.62 | 4.32 | 4.83 |
| Taijuan Walker | 6.2 | 5.67 | 4.94 | 5.20 | 4.22 | 5.08 | 4.80 | 4.98 |
Closers: Saves-base ranks
Note: I don’t have time to go through all the trade possibilities for this article. Look for another article for that analysis. I’m sure there will be more movement here once bullpens are settled.
Kevin Ginkel: Good reliever who is the closer.
Matt Strahm: Good reliever who is sharing the closer duties.
Cade Smith: Great reliever who is the backup for a closer who is likely to be traded.
Alex Vesia: Great reliever who is the backup closer.
Griffin Jax: Great reliever who is the backup for a closer who is likely to be traded. There is a chance Jax also gets traded.
Jeremiah Estrada: Great reliever who is a step or two away from closing.
Adrian Morejon: Good reliever who is a step or two away from closing.
CBS Relief Pitcher Rostership Rates
| Name | Previous Roster% | Current Roster% | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Smith RP CLE | 29% | 31% | 2% |
| Matt Strahm RP PHI | 16% | 19% | 3% |
| Alex Vesia RP LAD | 16% | 18% | 2% |
| Griffin Jax RP MIN | 15% | 16% | 1% |
| Jeremiah Estrada RP SD | 13% | 16% | 3% |
| Adrian Morejon RP SD | 12% | 18% | 6% |
| Kevin Ginkel RP ARI | 11% | 16% | 5% |
Source link
