Earth’s Sunlight Reflection Dramatically Declines Over 20 Years

A new study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences reveals a noticeable change in how Earth reflects sunlight. Over the past two decades, the planet has shown a decline in its reflectivity, with significant regional variations. According to the research team, led by Norman Loeb from NASA’s Langley Research Center in Virginia, this trend could have important implications for our understanding of climate dynamics.

Unequal Solar Reflection Between Hemispheres

One of the most surprising findings from this study is the noticeable disparity in how the northern and southern hemispheres are experiencing the change. While the southern hemisphere generally gains more radiative energy at the top of the atmosphere, the northern hemisphere is facing a net loss of solar energy. Researchers attribute this discrepancy to a complex interplay of atmospheric, oceanic, and surface processes.

The primary factor contributing to this phenomenon is albedothe Earth‘s surface reflectivity. Surfaces like ice and snow reflect a significant amount of solar radiation, while darker surfaces such as oceans or rock absorb more sunlight. In the northern hemisphere, there has been a marked decline in snow and sea ice, which are high-albedo surfaces.

Zonal Mean Anomalies In (a) Aerosol–radiation Interaction Irf. Credit Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences (2025). Doi 10.1073pnas.2511595122Zonal Mean Anomalies In (a) Aerosol–radiation Interaction Irf. Credit Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences (2025). Doi 10.1073pnas.2511595122
Zonal mean anomalies in (A) aerosol–radiation interaction IRF. Credit: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2025). DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2511595122

This reduction is accelerating the warming process, as less sunlight is reflected back into space. According to the study, Earth receives on average 240 to 243 watts per square meter of solar radiation, and the divergence in energy between the hemispheres is about 0.34 watts per square meter per decade—a statistically significant but small change.

(b)–sw Cloud Radiative Response For 2001 To 2024. Credit Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences (2025). Doi 10.1073pnas.2511595122(b)–sw Cloud Radiative Response For 2001 To 2024. Credit Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences (2025). Doi 10.1073pnas.2511595122
(B)–SW cloud radiative response for 2001 to 2024. Credit: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2025). DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2511595122

Moreover, atmospheric changes have not been able to fully balance out these differences. While energy circulates between the hemispheres through atmospheric and oceanic movements, it seems that the loss of ice cover and changing cloud patterns in the north have tilted the scales. This finding challenges previous assumptions that these natural circulations could adequately compensate for the imbalances in energy gain between the hemispheres.

The Role of Aerosols and Environmental Changes

Aerosols—tiny particles suspended in the atmosphere—also play a crucial role in shaping the Earth’s reflectivity. These particles, which can form from pollution, dust, or even volcanic activity, act as nuclei for cloud formation. Clouds, in turn, reflect solar radiation, helping to moderate the Earth’s temperature.

In the northern hemisphere, environmental regulations have led to a significant reduction in fine particulate pollution. Countries like the United States, China, and European nations have implemented stricter emission controls, which has led to fewer aerosols in the atmosphere. While this is beneficial for air quality, it also means less cloud cover to reflect sunlight, contributing to the observed darkening of the northern hemisphere.

Conversely, the southern hemisphere has seen an increase in aerosol levels due to natural events like the devastating bushfires in Australia and the eruption of the Hunga Tonga volcano in the South Pacific (2021-2022). These events released vast quantities of particulate matter into the atmosphere, enhancing cloud formation and increasing the reflection of sunlight in the southern hemisphere.

As a result, the southern half of the planet is not experiencing the same degree of darkening as the northern hemisphere. These factors significantly influenced the aerosols’ presence, further complicating the difference in solar reflection between the two hemispheres.


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