Television’s awards season is nearing its grand finale, with the Creative Arts Emmys taking place over two nights this weekend, leading into the 77th Primetime Emmy Awards on Sunday, Sept. 14. The main ceremony will be hosted by comedian Nate Bargatze.
Apple TV+ enters the night with unprecedented momentum. Its critically acclaimed psychological thriller “Severance” leads all programs with 27 nominations. HBO Max’s “The Penguin,” a gritty Batman spinoff, follows with 24. Meanwhile, Apple’s dark comedy “The Studio” — the razor-sharp satire of Hollywood — tied the all-time record for most comedy series nominations with 23.
Many industry pundits project a historic showing for Apple TV+, with many predicting it will take home both drama (“Severance”) and comedy series (“The Studio”). Variety is inclined to agree. If achieved, it would mark the first time one network has won both top races since HBO accomplished the feat in 2016 with “Game of Thrones” and “Veep.”
If our predictions hold, “The Studio” will lead all shows with 12 wins, followed by “Severance” and “The Penguin” with nine each. Netflix’s “Adolescence,” the moving psychological limited series, is forecast to collect eight including the top miniseries race. NBC’s “SNL50: The Anniversary Special” could round out the top five with a projected six statuettes.
On the platform level, Netflix is projected to top the leaderboard with 25 total wins, edging out Apple TV+ (24) and HBO Max (23). The latter set an all-time nomination record with 142. The record for most wins is shared between CBS and Netflix who both won 44 in 1974 and 2021.
Other networks rounding out the top five would be NBC following with 11, then Disney+ and Peacock with six and five, respectively.
“The Pitt”
HBO Max
“Severance” is expected to collect big wins in directing (Ben Stiller), writing (“Cold Harbor” by Dan Erickson) and cinematography for double nominee Jessica Lee Gagné. However, we can’t count out HBO Max’s freshman medical drama “The Pitt.” Going into the Emmys, the show recently won program of the year at the Television Critics Association Awards, an accolade that has often predicted Emmy upsets, including past shockers like Hulu’s “The Handmaid’s Tale” and Prime Video’s “Fleabag.”
Meanwhile, “The Penguin” remains a viable spoiler in the limited series space, especially for Colin Farrell’s lead performance that could also bring in co-star Cristin Milioti, if she can manage to sneak past Michelle Williams for FX’s “Dying for Sex.” The dark comic thriller also leads projections in makeup, production design, prosthetics, sound editing and visual effects.
And in the guest drama actor category, a win for 86-year-old Scott Glenn (“The White Lotus”) would make him the oldest acting winner in the category ever, surpassing James Whitmore, who won at age 78 for “The Practice” in 2000.
CBS’s “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert,” widely expected to win talk series, could finally break its Emmy curse. The long-running show is currently zero for 33 at the Emmys, making it the second-most nominated show without a win — just behind “Better Call Saul” (zero for 53).
Comedian Adam Sandler could also make history for himself. The “SNL” alum is double-nominated for his Netflix special “Adam Sandler: Love You” and the “SNL50” song “50 Years.” A win in either category would mark his first-ever Emmy victory.
NBC’s “SNL50: The Anniversary Special” is a frontrunner in Variety Special (Live), as well as Directing and Writing for a Variety Special. Netflix is expected to sweep documentary and animation categories, with “Simone Biles: Rising,” “Will and Harper” and “Arcane” all favored.
In reality categories, Peacock’s “The Traitors” is predicted to win both Competition Program and Reality Host (Alan Cumming). “Love on the Spectrum” leads unstructured reality predictions, while ABC’s “Shark Tank” continues its structured reality reign.
The final predictions are below.
Drama Series:
Will Win: “Severance” (Apple TV+)
Could Win: “The Pitt” (HBO Max)
Should Win: “Andor” (Disney+)
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Agency” (Paramount+)
Comedy Series:
Will Win: “The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Could Win: “Hacks” (HBO Max)
Should Win: “The Studio”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Overcompensating” (Prime Video)
Limited Series:
Will Win: “Adolescence” (Netflix)
Could Win: “The Penguin” (HBO Max)
Should Win: “Adolescence”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Presumed Innocent” (Apple TV+)
TV Movie:
Will Win: “Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy” (Peacock)
Could Win: “Rebel Ridge” (Netflix)
Should Win: “The Gorge” (Apple TV+)
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Supremes at Earl’s All-You-Can-Eat” (Hulu)
Lead Drama Actor:
Will Win: Noah Wyle, “The Pitt” (HBO Max)
Could Win: Adam Scott, “Severance” (Apple TV+)
Should Win: Noah Wyle
Should Have Been Nominated: Ramón Rodriguez, “Will Trent” (ABC)
Lead Comedy Actor:
Will Win: Seth Rogen, “The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Could Win: Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Should Win: Seth Rogen
Should Have Been Nominated: Ted Danson, “Man on the Inside” (Netflix)
Lead Actor Limited:
Will Win: Colin Farrell, “The Penguin” (HBO Max)
Could Win: Stephen Graham, “Adolescence” (Netflix)
Should Win: Stephen Graham
Should Have Been Nominated: Paul Giamatti, “Black Mirror” (Netflix)
Lead Drama Actress:
Will Win: Kathy Bates, “Matlock” (CBS)
Could Win: Britt Lower, “Severance” (Apple TV+)
Should Win: Britt Lower
Should Have Been Nominated: Kaitlin Olson, “High Potential” (ABC)
Lead Comedy Actress:
Will Win: Jean Smart, “Hacks” (HBO Max)
Could Win: Kristen Bell, “Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
Should Win: Ayo Edebiri, “The Bear” (FX)
Should Have Been Nominated: Wally Baram, “Overcompensating” (Prime Video)
Lead Actress Limited:
Will Win: Michelle Williams, “Dying for Sex” (FX)
Could Win: Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin” (HBO Max)
Should Win: Cristin Milioti
Should Have Been Nominated: Lola Petticrew, “Say Nothing” (FX)
Supporting Drama Actor:
Will Win: Tramell Tillman, “Severance” (Apple TV+)
Could Win: Walton Goggins, “The White Lotus” (HBO Max)
Should Win: Tramell Tillman
Should Have Been Nominated: Patrick Ball, “The Pitt” (HBO Max)
Supporting Comedy Actor:
Will Win: Harrison Ford, “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
Could Win: Ike Barinholtz, “The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Should Win: Bowen Yang, “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Should Have Been Nominated: Will Forte, “The Four Seasons” (Netflix)
Supporting Actor Limited:
Will Win: Owen Cooper, “Adolescence” (Netflix)
Could Win: Javier Bardem, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
Should Win: Owen Cooper
Should Have Been Nominated: Rhenzy Feliz, “The Penguin” (HBO Max)
Supporting Drama Actress:
Will Win: Carrie Coon, “The White Lotus” (HBO Max)
Could Win: Katherine LaNasa, “The Pitt” (HBO Max)
Should Win: Carrie Coon
Should Have Been Nominated: Adria Arjona, “Andor” (Disney+)
Supporting Comedy Actress:
Will Win: Catherine O’Hara, “The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Could Win: Hannah Einbinder, “Hacks” (HBO Max)
Should Win: Janelle James, “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Should Have Been Nominated: Sarah Sherman, “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Supporting Actress Limited:
Will Win: Erin Doherty, “Adolescence” (Netflix)
Could Win: Jenny Slate, “Dying for Sex” (FX)
Should Win: Christine Tremarco, “Adolescence”
Should Have Been Nominated: Fatima Bojang, “Adolescence”
Guest Drama Actor:
Will Win: Scott Glenn, “The White Lotus” (HBO Max)
Could Win: Jeffrey Wright, “The Last of Us” (HBO Max)
Should Win: Shawn Hatosy
Should Have Been Nominated: Ben Mendelsohn, “Andor”
Guest Drama Actress:
Will Win: Merritt Wever, “Severance” (Apple TV+)
Could Win: Kaitlyn Dever, “The Last of Us” (HBO Max)
Should Win: Kaitlyn Dever
Should Have Been Nominated: Sydney Cole Alexander, “Severance”
Guest Comedy Actor:
Will Win: Bryan Cranston, “The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Could Win: Martin Scorsese, “The Studio”
Should Win: Ron Howard, “The Studio”
Should Have Been Nominated: Richard Kind, “Mid-Century Modern” (Hulu)
Guest Comedy Actress:
Will Win: Julianne Nicholson, “Hacks” (HBO Max)
Could Win: Zoë Kravitz, “The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Should Win: Julianne Nicholson
Should Have Been Nominated: Sarah Polley, “The Studio”
Competition Program:
Will Win: “The Traitors” (Peacock)
Could Win: “RuPaul’s Drag Race” (MTV)
Should Win: “The Traitors”
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Floor” (Fox)
Structured Reality:
Will Win: “Shark Tank” (ABC)
Could Win: “Antiques Roadshow” (PBS)
Should Win: “Love is Blind” (Netflix)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Couples Therapy” (Paramount+)
Unstructured Reality:
Will Win: “Love on the Spectrum” (Netflix)
Could Win: “Welcome to Wrexham” (FX)
Should Win: “Love on the Spectrum”
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Valley” (Bravo)
Talk Series:
Will Win: “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” (CBS)
Could Win: “The Daily Show” (Comedy Central)
Should Win: “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Hot Ones” (YouTube)
Scripted Variety:
Will Win: “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO Max)
Could Win: “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
Should Win: “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Very Important People” (Dropout)
Variety Special Live:
Will Win: “SNL50: The Anniversary Special” (NBC)
Could Win: “Beyoncé Bowl” (Netflix)
Should Win: “The Apple Music Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show Starring Kendrick Lamar” (Fox)
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Grammys” (CBS)
Variety Special Pre-Recorded:
Will Win: “Ali Wong: Single Lady” (Netflix)
Could Win: “Adam Sandler: Love You” (Netflix)
Should Win: “Bill Burr: Drop Dead Years” (Hulu)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Chelsea Handler: The Feeling” (Netflix)
Documentary Series:
Will Win: “Simone Biles: Rising” (Netflix)
Could Win: “Social Studies” (FX)
Should Win: “Social Studies”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Chimp Crazy” (HBO Max)
Documentary Special:
Will Win: “Will and Harper” (Netflix)
Could Win: “Pee-wee as Himself” (HBO Max)
Should Win: “Will and Harper”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Number One on the Call Sheet” (Apple TV+)
Hosted Nonfiction:
Will Win: “My Next Guest Needs No Introduction with David Letterman” (Netflix)
Could Win: “Conan O’Brien Must Go” (HBO Max)
Should Win: “Finding Your Roots with Henry Louis Gates, Jr.” (PBS)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Eva Longoria: Searching for Spain” (CNN)
Exceptional Merit:
Will Win: “I Am Celine Dion” (Prime Video)
Could Win: “Patrice: The Movie” (Hulu)
Should Win: “The Remarkable Life of Ibelin” (Netflix)
Directing Drama:
Will Win: Ben Stiller, “Severance” (Apple TV+)
Could Win: Jessica Lee Gagné, “Severance”
Should Win: Janus Metz, “Andor” (Disney+)
Should Have Been Nominated: Elisabeth Moss, “The Handmaid’s Tale” (“Execution”)
Directing Comedy:
Will Win: Seth Rogen and Evan Goldberg, “The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Could Win: Ayo Edebiri, “The Bear” (FX)
Should Win: Ayo Edebiri
Should Have Been Nominated: Randall Einhorn, “Abbott Elementary”
Directing Limited:
Will Win: Philip Barantini, “Adolescence” (Netflix)
Could Win: Jennifer Getzinger, “The Penguin” (HBO Max)
Should Win: Philip Barantini, “Adolescence”
Should Have Been Nominated: Chris Barrett and Luke Taylor, “Black Mirror”
Directing Documentary:
Will Win: Nyle DiMarco and Davis Guggenheim, “Deaf President Now!” (Apple TV+)
Could Win: Matt Wolf, “Pee-wee as Himself” (HBO Max)
Should Win: Matt Wolf
Directing Variety Special:
Will Win: Liz Patrick, “SNL50: The Anniversary Special” (NBC)
Could Win: Hamish Linklater, “The Apple Music Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show Starring Kendrick Lamar” (Fox)
Should Win: Beyoncé Knowles-Carter and Alex Rudzinski, “Beyoncé Bowl” (Netflix)
Directing Variety Series:
Will Win: Jim Hoskinson, “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)
Could Win: Paul Pennolino, “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO Max)
Should Win: Paul Pennolino
Directing Reality:
Will Win: Cian O’Clery, “Love on the Spectrum” (Netflix)
Could Win: Ben Archard, “The Traitors” (Peacock)
Should Win: Cian O’Clery
Writing Drama:
Will Win: “Severance” (Apple TV+) — “Cold Harbor” by Dan Erickson
Could Win: “The White Lotus” (HBO Max) – “Full-Moon Party” by Mike White
Should Win: “The Pitt” (HBO Max) — “7:00 A.M.” by R. Scott Gemmill
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Agency” (Paramount+) — “Hard Landing” by Jez Butterworth and John-Henry Butterworth
Writing Comedy:
Will Win: “The Rehearsal” (HBO Max) – “Pilot’s Code” by Nathan Fielder
Could Win: “The Studio” (Apple TV+) — “The Promotion” by Seth Rogen, Evan Goldberg, Peter Huyck, Alex Gregory, Frida Perez
Should Win: “Hacks” (HBO Max) — “A Slippery Slope” by Lucia Aniello, Paul W. Downs, Jen Statsky
Should Have Been Nominated: “Overcompensating” (Prime Video) — “Scary Monsters and Nice Sprites” by Benito Skinner
Writing Limited:
Will Win: “Adolescence” (Netflix) – Series by Jack Thorne and Stephen Graham
Could Win: “Say Nothing” (FX) — “The People in the Dirt” by Joshua Zetumer
Should Win: “Adolescence” (Netflix)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Black Mirror” (Netflix) — “Eulogy” by Charlie Brooker and Ella Road
Writing Variety Series:
Will Win: “The Daily Show” (Comedy Central) — David Angelo, Dan Amira, Nicole Conlan, Jocelyn Conn, Devin Delliquanti, Zach DiLanzo, Jennifer Flanz, Jason Gilbert, Dina Hashem, Scott Hercman, David Kibuuka, Matt Koff, Lauren Sarver Means, Matt O’Brien, Joseph Opio, Randall Otis, Zhubin Parang, Kat Radley, Daniel Radosh, Lanee’ Sanders, Scott Sherman, Jon Stewart, Ashton Womack, Sophie Zucker
Could Win: “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO Max)
Should Win: “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver”
Writing Variety Special:
Will Win: “SNL50: The Anniversary Special” (NBC) — James Anderson, Rosebud Baker, Dan Bulla, Megan Callahan-Shah, Michael Che, Mike DiCenzo, James Downey, Tina Fey, Jimmy Fowlie, Alison Gates, Sudi Green, Jack Handey, Steve Higgins, Colin Jost, Erik Kenward, Dennis McNicholas, Seth Meyers, Lorne Michaels, John Mulaney, Jake Nordwind, Ceara O’Sullivan, Josh Patten, Paula Pell, Simon Rich, Pete Schultz, Streeter Seidell, Emily Spivey, Kent Sublette, Bryan Tucker, Auguste White
Could Win: “Your Friend, Nate Bargatze” (Netflix)
Should Win: “Cunk on Life” (Netflix)
Writing Nonfiction:
Will Win: “Martha” (Netflix) by RJ Cutler
Could Win: “Chimp Crazy” (HBO Max)
Should Win: “Chimp Crazy”
Game Show:
Will Win: “Jeopardy” (ABC)
Could Win: “Wheel of Fortune”
Should Win: “Wheel of Fortune”
Game Show Host:
Will Win: Jimmy Kimmel, “Who Wants to be a Millionaire” (ABC)
Could Win: Ken Jennings, “Jeopardy” (ABC)
Should Win: Jimmy Kimmel
Reality Host:
Will Win: Alan Cumming, “The Traitors” (Peacock)
Could Win: RuPaul Charles, “RuPaul’s Drag Race” (MTV)
Should Win: Jeff Probst, “Survivor” (CBS)
Casting Drama:
Will Win: “The Pitt” (HBO Max) — Erica Berger, Cathy Sandrich Gelfond
Could Win: “Severance” (Apple TV+)
Should Win: “The Pitt”
Casting Comedy:
Will Win: “The Studio” (Apple TV+) — Melissa Kostenbauder, Francine Maisler
Could Win: “Hacks” (HBO Max)
Should Win: “The Studio”
Casting Limited:
Will Win: “Adolescence” (Netflix) — Shaheen Baig
Could Win: “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
Should Win: “Black Mirror” (Netflix)
Casting Reality:
Will Win: “Love on the Spectrum” (Netflix) — Sean Bowman, Emma Choate, Cian O’Clery
Could Win: “Survivor” (CBS)
Should Win: “Love on the Spectrum”
Animated Program:
Will Win: “Arcane” (Netflix)
Episode: “The Dirt Under Your Nails” — Ken Basin, Brandon Beck, Pascal Charrue, Jérôme Combe, Arnaud Delord, Hervé Dupont, Melinda Wunsch Dilger, Amanda Overton, Christine Ponzevera, Bart Maunoury, Christian Linke, Marc Merrill, Amanda Wyatt, Alex Yee, Shauna Spenley, Brian Wright
Could Win: “The Simpsons” (Fox)
Should Win: “Arcane”
Character Voiceover:
Will Win: Alan Tudyk, “Andor” (Disney+)
Could Win: Maya Rudolph, “Big Mouth” (Netflix)
Should Win: Hank Azaria, “The Simpsons” (Fox)
Short Form Performer:
Will Win: Desi Lydic, “The Daily Show: Desi Lydic Fox-splains” (Comedy Central)
Could Win: Kevin Hart: Hart to Kill” (The Roku Channel)
Should Win: Tom Segura, “Bad Thoughts” (Netflix)
Production Contemporary One Hour:
Will Win: “The Penguin” (HBO Max) – “Homecoming” — Richard Devine, Kalina Ivanov, Rich Murray, Deborah Wheatley
Could Win: “Severance” (Apple TV+)
Should Win: “The Last of Us” (HBO Max)
Production Period Fantasy One Hour:
Will Win: “Andor” (Disney+) – “Who Are You?” — Rebecca Alleway, Toby Britton, Luke Hull
Could Win: “Dune: Prophecy” (HBO Max)
Should Win: “Pachinko” (Apple TV+)
Production Narrative Half Hour:
Will Win: “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX) – “Headhunting” — Shayne Fox, Hayley Isaacs, Aaron Noël, Kerri Wylie
Could Win: “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu) — “Valley of the Dolls”
Should Win: “Hacks” (HBO Max) — “A Slippery Slope”
Production Variety/Reality:
Will Win: “Saturday Night Live” (NBC) – “Host: Lady Gaga” — N. Joseph DeTullio, Patrick Lynch, Sara Parks, Andrea Purcigliotti, Keith Ian Raywood, Akira Yoshimura
Could Win: “RuPaul’s Drag Race” (MTV)
Should Win: “Saturday Night Live”
Production Variety Special:
Will Win: “The Oscars” (ABC) — Alana Billingsley, Misty Buckley, Margaux Lapresle, John Zuiker
Could Win: “SNL50: The Anniversary Special” (NBC)
Should Win: “Beyoncé Bowl” (Netflix)
Cinematography Series Half-Hour:
Will Win: “The Studio” (Apple TV+) – “The Oner” — Adam Newpoart-Berra
Could Win: “The Righteous Gemstones” (HBO Max) — “Prelude”
Should Win: “The Studio”
Cinematography Series One Hour:
Will Win: “Severance” (Apple TV+) – “Hello, Ms. Cobel” — Jessica Lee Gagné
Could Win: “Andor” (Disney+) — “Who Are You?” — Christophe Nuyens
Should Win: “Severance”
Cinematography Limited:
Will Win: “Adolescence” (Netflix) – “Episode 2” — Matthew Lewis
Could Win: “Disclaimer” (Apple TV+) — “I” — Bruno Delbonnel, Emmanuel Lubezki
Should Win: “Adolescence”
Cinematography Nonfiction:
Will Win: “100 Foot Wave” (HBO Max) – “Chapter III – Cortes Bank” — Michael Darrigade, Vincent Kardasik, Alexandre Lesbats, Laurent Pujol, Karl Sandrock, Chris Smith
Could Win: “Tuccy in Italy” (National Geographic)
Should Win: “Chef’s Table” (Netflix)
Cinematography Reality:
Will Win: “Life Below Zero” (National Geographic) – Series Body of Work — Jeffrey Alexander, Charlie Beck, Brian Bitterfeld, Michael Cheeseman, Tyler Colgan, Danny Day, Dwayne Fowler, Jason Hubbell, Ashton Hurlburt, Jayce Kolinski, Ben Mullin, Wayne Shockey, Jensen Walker
Could Win: “Survivor” (CBS)
Should Win: “Survivor”
Period Costumes:
Will Win: “Bridgerton” (Netflix) – “Into the Light” — Anthony Brookman, John Walter Glaser III, Dougie Hawkes, Amanda McLaughlan, George Sayer
Could Win: “1923” (Paramount+)
Should Win: “Wolf Hall: The Mirror and the Light (Masterpiece)”
Fantasy/Sci-Fi Costumes:
Will Win: “Andor” (Disney+) — “Harvest” — Richard Davies, Paula Fajardo, Michael Wilkinson, Kate O’Farrell
Could Win: “Agatha All Along” (Disney+) – “Follow Me My Friend”
Should Win: “Andor”
Contemporary Costumes:
Will Win: “Hacks” (HBO Max) — “Heaven” — Keely Crum, Kathleen Felix-Hager
Could Win: “Emily in Paris” (Netflix)
Should Win: “The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Contemporary Costumes Limited:
Will Win: “The Penguin” (HBO Max) – “A Great or Little Thing” — Becca Freund, Esther J. Han, Helen Huang, Kate Smith, Austin Wittick
Could Win: “Sirens”
Should Win: “The Penguin”
Editing Drama:
Will Win: “Andor” (Disney+) – “Who Are You?” — Yan Miles
Could Win: “Severance” (Apple TV+) — “Cold Harbor”
Should Win: “The Last of Us” (HBO Max) — “Through the Valley”
Editing Comedy:
Will Win: “The Studio” (Apple TV+) — “The Promotion” — Eric Kissack
Could Win: “The Bear” (FX) – “Tomorrow”
Should Win: “The Rehearsal” (HBO Max) — “Pilot’s Code”
Editing Limited:
Will Win: “The Penguin” (HBO Max) – “Cent’anni” — Meg Reticker
Could Win: “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix) — “Blame it on the Rain”
Should Win: “The Penguin” — “A Great or Little Thing”
Editing Multi-Cam:
Will Win: “Mid-Century Modern” (Hulu) – “Here’s to You, Mrs. Schneiderman” — Peter J. Chakos
Could Win: “Frasier” (Paramount+)
Should Win: “Mid-Century Modern”
Editing Variety Programming:
Will Win: “Ali Wong: Single Lady” (Netflix) — Sean Hubbert
Could Win: “Cunk on Life” (Netflix) — Damon Tai and Jason Boxall
Should Win: “Cunk on Life”
Editing Variety Segment:
Will Win: “SNL50: The Anniversary Special” (NBC) – Physical Comedy (segment) — Ryan Spears, Paul Del Gasso, Christopher Salerno, Daniel Garcia, Sean McIlraith and Ryan McIlraith
Could Win: “The Daily Show” (Comedy Central) — “The Dailyshowography of Kamala Harris: Just Normal”
Should Win: “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO Max) — “Facebook Content Moderation”
Editing Nonfiction:
Will Win: “Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story” (HBO Max) — Otto Burnham
Could Win: “Pee-wee as Himself” (HBO Max)
Should Win: “Chimp Crazy”
Editing Reality:
Will Win: “The Traitors” (Peacock) – “Let Battle Commence” — Patrick Owen, James Seddon-Brown
Could Win: “RuPaul’s Drag Race” (MTV)
Should Win: “The Traitors”
Editing Unstructured:
Will Win: “Welcome to Wrexham” (FX) – “Down to the Wire” — Sam Fricke, Jenny Krochmal, Mohamed el Manasterly, Michael Oliver, Tim Roche, Matt Wafaie, Steve Welch, Tim Wilsbach
Could Win: “Deadliest Catch” (National Geographic)
Should Win: “Love on the Spectrum” (Netflix)
Makeup Contemporary Non-Prosthetic:
Will Win: “The Penguin” (HBO Max) — “Cent’Anni” – Martha Melendez, Kim Collea, and Maria Maio
Could Win: “The Last of Us” (HBO Max) – “Day One”
Should Win: “The Pitt” (HBO Max) — “7:00 P.M.”
Makeup Period Fantasy Non-Prosthetic:
Will Win: “House of the Dragon” (HBO Max) – “The Red Dragon and the Gold” — Sara Kramer, Harriet Thompson, Bonny Monger, Helen Currie, Natalie Wickens, and Vickie Ellis
Could Win: “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix) — “Brother, Can You Spare a Dime?”
Should Win: “Anne Rice’s Interview with the Vampire” (AMC) — “Do You Know What It Means to Be Loved by Death”
Makeup Variety Nonfiction Reality:
Will Win: “RuPaul’s Drag Race” (MTV) – “Bitch, I’m a Drag Queen” — Natasha Marcelina, David Petruschin, Jen Fregozo, and Nicole Faulkner
Could Win: “The Boulet Brothers’ Dragula” (Shudder) — “Welcome to Hell”
Should Win: “The Lion King at the Hollywood Bowl” (Disney+)
Makeup Prosthetic:
Will Win: “The Penguin” (HBO Max) – “After Hours” — Mike Marino, Mike Fontaine, Crystal Jurado, Diana Choi, Claire Flewin, Jerry Constantine, Yoichi Art Sakamoto, and Bobby Diehl
Could Win: “House of the Dragon” (HBO Max) — “The Red Sowing”
Should Win: “The Penguin”
Hairstyling Contemporary:
Will Win: “The Studio” (Apple TV+) — “CinemaCon” – Vanessa Price, Alexandra Ford, and Lauren McKeever
Could Win: “Emily in Paris” (Netflix) – “Back on the Crazy Horse”
Should Win: “Abbott Elementary” (ABC) — “100th Day of School”
Hairstyling Period Fantasy:
Will Win: “Bridgerton” (Netflix) – “Old Friends” — Erika Okvist, Farida Ghwedar, Grace Stella Gorman, and Laura Sim
Could Win: What We Do in the Shadows” (FX) — “The Finale”
Should Win: “Monsters: The Erik and Lyle Menendez Story” (Netflix)
Hairstyling Variety Nonfiction Reality:
Will Win: “The Boulet Brothers’ Dragula” (Shudder) – “Welcome to Hell” — Marco Gabellini
Could Win: “SNL50: The Anniversary Special” (NBC)
Should Win: “SNL50: The Anniversary Special”
Sound Mixing Comedy Drama One Hour:
Will Win: “Severance” (Apple TV+) – “Cold Harbor” — Bob Chefalas, Jacob Ribicoff, David Schwartz, and George Lara
Could Win: “The Last of Us” (HBO Max) — “Through the Valley”
Should Win: “Andor” (Disney+) — “Who Are You?”
Sound Mixing Limited:
Will Win: “Adolescence” (Netflix) – “Episode 1”
Could Win: “The Penguin” (HBO Max) — “After Hours”
Should Win: “Black Mirror” (Netflix) — “USS Callister: Into Infinity”
Sound Mixing Comedy Drama Half-Hour:
Will Win: “The Bear” (FX) – “Doors” — Steve “Major” Giammaria, Scott D. Smith, Patrick Christensen, and Ryan Collison
Could Win: “The Studio” (Apple TV+) — “The Golden Globes”
Should Win: “The Studio”
Sound Mixing Variety:
Will Win: “SNL50: The Anniversary Special” (NBC) — Robert Palladino, Ezra Matychak, Frank Duca, Doug Nightwine, Christopher Costello, Caroline Sanchez, Josiah Gluck, Jay Vicari, Tyler McDiarmid, Geoff Countryman, Devin Emke, and Teng Chen
Could Win: “The 67th Annual Grammy Awards” (CBS)
Should Win: “The Oscars” (ABC)
Sound Mixing Nonfiction:
Will Win: “Music by John Williams” (Disney+) — Roy Waldspurger, Christopher Barnett and Noah Alexander
Could Win: “100 Foot Wave” (HBO Max) — “Chapter III: Cortes Bank”
Should Win: “Pee-wee as Himself” (HBO Max)
Sound Mixing Reality:
Will Win: “Welcome to Wrexham” (FX) – “Down to the Wire” — Mark Jensen
Could Win: “The Amazing Race” (CBS)
Should Win: “Deadliest Catch” (Discovery Channel)
Sound Editing Comedy Drama One Hour:
Will Win: “The Last of Us” (HBO Max) – “Through the Valley” — Michael J. Benavente, Chris Terhune, Joe Schiff, Christopher Battaglia, Mitchell Lestner, Jacob Flack, Odin Benitez, James Miller, Randy Wilson, Justin Helle, Ron Mellegers, Maarten Hofmeijer, Stefan Fraticelli, Brandon Bak, and Jason Charbonneau
Could Win: “Andor” (Disney+) — “Who Are You?”
Should Win: “Andor”
Sound Editing Comedy Drama Half-Hour:
Will Win: “The Studio” (Apple TV+) — “The Golden Globes” — George Haddad, Borja Sau, Lloyd Stuart Martin, Randy Wilson, Justin Helle, Lorena Perez Batista, Jason Charbonneau, and Stefan Fraticelli
Could Win: “The Righteous Gemstones” (HBO Max) – “Prelude”
Should Win: “The Righteous Gemstones”
Sound Editing Animated:
Will Win: “Arcane” (Netflix) — “The Dirt Under Your Nails” – Brad Beaumont, Eliot Connors, Stephen P. Robinson, Janet “PJ” Pascual, Dan O’Connell, and John Cucci
Could Win: “Star Trek: Lower Decks” (Paramount+) – “The New Next Generation”
Should Win: “Arcane”
Sound Editing Limited:
Will Win: “The Penguin” (HBO Max) — “After Hours” – Rich Bologna, Larry Zipf, Michael McMenomy, Angela Organ, Tony Martinez, Wyatt Sprague, Diego Perez, Matt Haasch, Ben Holiday, Luke Dennis, and Gareth Rhys Jones
Could Win: “Adolescence” (Netflix)
Should Win: “Star Trek: Section 31” (Paramount+)
Sound Editing Nonfiction:
Will Win: “SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night” (Peacock) — “Season 11: The Weird Year” – William Harp and Sean Gray (Peacock)
Could Win: “100 Foot Wave” (HBO Max) – “Chapter III – Cortes Bank”
Should Win: “100 Foot Wave”
Special Visual Effects Season or Movie:
Will Win: “Andor” (Disney+) — Mohen Leo, TJ Falls, Luke Murphy, Neal Scanlan, Scott Pritchard, Joseph Kasparian, Sue Rowe, Paolo D’Arco, and Jean-Clément Soret
Could Win: “Dune: Prophecy” (HBO Max)
Should Win: “Andor”
Special Visual Effects Single Episode:
Will Win: “The Penguin” (HBO Max) – “Bliss” — Johnny Han, Michelle Rose, Alexandre Prod’homme, Erin Sullivan, Goran Pavles, Emanuel Fuchs, Ed Bruce, Nathaniel Larouche, and Adrien Saint Girons
Could Win: “Black Mirror” (Netflix) — “USS Callister: Into Infinity”
Should Win: “Black Mirror”
Music Composition Series:
Will Win: “The Studio” (Apple TV+) — Antonio Sánchez
Could Win: “Severance” (Apple TV+) — Theodore Shapiro
Should Win: “Andor” (Disney+) — Brandon Roberts
Music Composition Limited:
Will Win: “The Penguin” (HBO Max) – “After Hours” — Mick Giacchino
Could Win: “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix) — “Spree” – Thomas Newman and Julia Newman
Should Win: “Black Mirror” (Netflix) — “USS Callister: Into Infinity” – Daniel Pemberton
Music Composition Documentary:
Will Win: “The Americas” (NBC) – “Andes” – Hans Zimmer, Anže Rozman and Kara Talve (NBC)
Could Win: “Leonardo da Vinci” (PBS) – Caroline Shaw
Should Win: “Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story” (HBO Max) – Ilan Eshkeri
Music Direction:
Will Win: “The Apple Music Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show Starring Kendrick Lamar” (Fox) — Kendrick Lamar and Tony Russell
Could Win: “The Oscars” (ABC) — Michael Bearden
Should Win: “The Apple Music Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show Starring Kendrick Lamar”
Music and Lyrics:
Will Win: “SNL50: Anniversary Special” (NBC) – “50 Years” by Dan Bulla and Adam Sandler
Could Win: “Agatha All Along” (Disney+) – “The Ballad of the Witches’ Road” by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez
Should Win: “Will and Harper” (Netflix) — “Harper and Will Go West” by Sean Douglas, Kristen Wiig and Josh Greenbaum
Main Title Music:
Will Win: “The White Lotus” (HBO Max) – Cristobal Tapia de Veer
Could Win: “Dune: Prophecy” (HBO Max) – Volker Bertelmann
Should Win: “Your Friends and Neighbors” (Apple TV+) – Dominic Lewis and Hamilton Leithauser
Music Supervision:
Will Win: “The Studio” (Apple TV+) — “The Promotion” — Gabe Hilfer
Could Win: “The Last of Us” (HBO Max) — “The Price” – Evyen Klean, Ian Broucek and Scott Hanau
Should Win: “Severance” (Apple TV+) — “Cold Harbor” – George Drakoulias
Short Form (Comedy, Drama, Variety):
Will Win: “Late Night with Seth Meyers: Corrections” (NBC) — Seth Meyers, Mike Shoemaker
Could Win: “The Rabbit Hole with Jimmy Kimmel” (YouTube)
Should Win: “The Daily Show: Desi Lydic Foxsplains” (YouTube)
Short Form Nonfiction:
Will Win: “Adolescence: The Making Of Adolescence” (Netflix) — Kelly Caton, Jordan Anderson, Bram De Jonghe, Kia Milan, Nyle Washington, Simon Richards
Could Win: “The White Lotus: Unpacking the Episode” (HBO Max)
Should Win: “Adolescence: The Making of Adolescence”
Stunt Comedy:
Will Win: “Cobra Kai” (Netflix) — Ken Barefield
Could Win: “Poker Face” (Peacock) — Tom Place
Should Win: “The Righteous Gemstones” (HBO Max) — Cory DeMeyers
Stunt Drama:
Will Win: “The Boys” (Prime Video) — John Koyama
Could Win: “The Penguin” (HBO Max) — Stephen Pope
Should Win: “The Boys”
Stunt Performance:
Will Win: “The Boys” (Prime Video) — “The Insider” – Jennifer Murray, River Godland, Alec Back and Moses Nyarko
Could Win: “FBI: Most Wanted” (CBS) – “Moving On”
Should Win: “Severance” (Apple TV+) — “Cold Harbor” – Justice Hedenberg, Katie Rowe and Erik Martin (Apple TV+)
Choreography Variety:
Will Win: “Beyoncé Bowl” (Netflix) — “My House” / “Sweet Honey Bucklin’” / “Texas Hold ‘Em” – Truck Patterson, Charm La’Donna, Christopher Grant, and Parris Goebel
Could Win: “The Apple Music Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show Starring Kendrick Lamar” (Fox) — “Humble” / “Not Like Us”
Should Win: “The Apple Music Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show Starring Kendrick Lamar”
Choreography Scripted:
Will Win: “Severance” (Apple TV+) — “Choreography & Merriment” / “The Ballad of Ambrose and Gunnel” – Andrew Turteltaub
Could Win: “Étoile” (Prime Video) — “Piece 2” / “Growing Pressure” / “Big in Japan” / “Piece 1”
Should Win: “Severance”
Title Design:
Will Win: “Severance” (Apple TV+) — Oliver Latta and Teddy Blanks (Apple TV+)
Could Win: “The Penguin” (HBO Max) — Aaron Becker, Joseph Ahn, Michael Lo, James Robertson, Hsien Lun Su, Alasdair Willson, and Ben Hurand
Should Win: “Severance”
Commercials:
Will Win: “Batman vs. Bateman” — Hungry Man and Highdive (State Farm)
Could Win: “So Win.” – Somesuch and Wieden+Kennedy (Nike)
Should Win: “Heartstrings” – Smuggler and TBWA\ Media Arts Lab (Apple AirPods Pro)
Narrator:
Will Win: Barack Obama – “Our Oceans” (Netflix) — “Indian Ocean”
Could Win: Tom Hanks — “The Americas” (NBC)
Should Win: Tom Hanks
Emerging Media:
Will Win: “SNL 50th The Anniversary Special: Immersive Experience” (Meta Quest)
Could Win: “Shawn Mendes: Red Rocks Live in VR” (Meta Quest”
Technical Direction Series:
Will Win: “The Voice” (NBC) — “Live Finale (Part 1)” – Allan Wells, Manny Bonilla, Mano Bonilla, Martin J. Brown Jr., Robert Burnette, Suzanne Ebner, Guido Frenzel, Alex Hernandez, Scott Hylton, Scott Kaye, Jofre Rosero, Steve Thiel, and Danny Webb
Could Win: “Saturday Night Live” (NBC) — “Host: Jack Black”
Should Win: “Everybody’s Live with John Mulaney” (NBC)
Technical Direction Special:
Will Win: “Bono: Stories of Surrender” (Apple TV+) — Erik Messerschmidt, Mark Goellnicht, Brian S. Osmond, Vince Vennitti, Charles Libin, Christine Kapo Ng, Richard Rutkowski, and Luke McCoubrey
Could Win: “SNL50: the Anniversary Special” (NBC)
Should Win: “The Lion King at the Hollywood Bowl” (Disney+)
Lighting Series:
Will Win: “Dancing with the Stars” (ABC) — “Semi-Finals” – Noah Mitz, Madigan Stehly, Patrick Brazil, Joe Holdman, Matt Benson, Matt McAdam, Ed Moore, and Kevin Faust
Could Win: “Saturday Night Live” (NBC) — “Host: Lady Gaga”
Should Win: “Saturday Night Live” (NBC) — “Host: Lady Gaga”
Lighting Special:
Will Win: “SNL50: The Anniversary Special” (NBC) — Geoffrey Amoral, Rick McGuinness, William McGuinness, Trevor Brown, Tim Stasse, Frank Grisanti, and Reginald Campbell
Could Win: “SNL50: The Homecoming Concert” (Peacock)
Should Win: “The 67th Annual Grammy Awards” (CBS)
Juried category winners already announced
Individual Achievement in Animation
“Arcane” (Netflix) — “The Dirt Under Your Nails” — Bruno Couchinho, Background Designer
Color:
“Arcane” (Netflix) — “The Message Hidden Within the Pattern” — Faustine Dumontier, Colorscript and Color Keys Artist
Character Animation:
“Love, Death + Robots” (Netflix) — “400 Boys” — Daryl Graham, 2D Animation Supervisor
Character Design
“Love, Death + Robots” (Netflix) — “400 Boys” — Robert Valley, Character Design
Production Design
“Love, Death + Robots” (Netflix) — “How Zeke Got Religion” — Gigi Cavenago, Art Director
Storyboard
“Love, Death + Robots” (Netflix) — “How Zeke Got Religion” — Edgar Martins, Storyboard Artist
Motion Design:
“Octopus!” (Prime Video) — Minkyung Chung, Designer, Michaela Olsen, Creative Director, Hayley Morris, Art Director, Julie Gratz, Art Director, Anthony Galante, Cinematographer, Sabrina Chaney, Compositor
Innovation in Emerging Media Programming
“White Rabbit” (Shibuya.Film / Shibuya) — Maciej Kuciara, Director/Writer/Production Designer, Emily Yang, Director/Writer
Costumes for Variety, Nonfiction or Reality Programming:
“Beyoncé Bowl” (Netflix) — Beyoncé Knowles-Carter, Costume Designer, Shiona Turini, Costume Designer, Erica Rice, Assistant Costume Designer, Molly Peters, Assistant Costume Designer, Chelsea Staebell, Costume Supervisor, Timothy White, Head of Workroom
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