When preparing for your fantasy football drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy football rankings compared to fantasy football average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average. Let’s dive into a few notable fantasy football sleepers below. And check out all of the fantasy football sleepers experts love in our consensus sleeper rankings.
Fantasy Football Sleepers Experts Draft
Here are fantasy football sleepers the experts love to target in drafts.
Who are Fantasy Football Sleepers?
Fantasy football sleepers are players who have a strong chance to exceed expectations and become surprise difference-makers for fantasy managers.
Fantasy Football Sleepers: Running Backs
Rank | Running Backs | Team | Bye | Num Experts | ECR | ADP |
1 | J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 12 | 17 | 35 | 35 |
2 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | 12 | 17 | 37 | 47 |
3 | Bhayshul Tuten | JAC | 8 | 14 | 51 | 48 |
4 | Braelon Allen | NYJ | 9 | 12 | 45 | 42 |
5 | Jaydon Blue | DAL | 10 | 11 | 49 | 43 |
After tearing his Achilles in Week 1 of the 2023 season, J.K. Dobbins made a successful return in 2024, rolling up 905 rushing yards and nine touchdowns for the Chargers in 13 games. Dobbins now joins the Broncos, where he’ll be part of Sean Payton’s backfield. Payton likes to use multiple running backs, and no doubt rookie R.J. Harvey will be prominently involved. But Dobbins figures to have a role as well, and it’s possible he’ll be Payton’s preferred goal-line back.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Bhayshul Tuten found a port in the NFL with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Liam Coen and company hope that Tuten can pull their offense up the scoring ranks in 2025. Ok, that’s enough tugboat references. Tuten will compete from the jump for touches with holdovers Travis Etienne and Tank Bigsby. Etienne looked like a shell of his former self last season, so Bigsby might be the most formidable adversary to a Tuten takeover. That doesn’t mean that Tuten and Bigsby couldn’t form a solid committee. Tuten has the juice to make the most of his touches. During his final collegiate season, he ranked tenth in yards after contact per attempt and breakaway percentage and eighth in elusive rating (per PFF). Tuten is an upside flier who could pay off handsomely in 2025, much like Bucky Iriving did last year.
– Derek Brown
A seventh-round rookie, Jacory Croskey-Merritt has been a revelation in training camp and seems poised to become the Commanders’ starting RB. Broskey-Merritt, who goes by “Bill,” has an unusual college production profile that included stints at Alabama State, New Mexico and Arizona. While the college production was nothing special, Croskey-Merritt’s athleticism stood out at his pro day, where he clocked a 4.45 and high-jumped 41.5 inches. This surging rookie RB warrants mid-round attention in fantasy drafts and has a chance to be a pleasant surprise.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Jaydon Blue fell to the fifth round of the NFL Draft as he was swimming in a ridiculously deep running back draft class. The former Longhorn displayed some three-down big play ability in his final collegiate season. He ranked 26th in elusive rating, 35th in yards after contact per attempt, and 25th in yards per route run (per PFF). It’s not hard to envision Blue having a role in the backfield immediately in Week 1, considering the lackluster players surrounding him on the Dallas Cowboys’ depth chart. Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders’ best football looks to be behind them. Blue could be the passing down back from Day 1 with an avenue to become the team’s lead back quickly.
– Derek Brown
Fantasy Football Sleepers: Wide Receivers
Rank | Wide Receivers | Team | Bye | Num Experts | ECR | ADP |
1 | Jayden Higgins | HOU | 6 | 19 | 57 | 52 |
2 | Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN | 12 | 16 | 55 | 57 |
3 | Cedric Tillman | CLE | 9 | 8 | 58 | 65 |
4 | DeMario Douglas | NE | 14 | 10 | 65 | 67 |
5 | Keenan Allen | LAC | 12 | 7 | 59 | 53 |
Jayden Higgins got the capital I was hoping for as the fifth wide receiver selected in the NFL Draft at the top of the second round. Higgins should immediately file in as the starting outside receiver opposite Nico Collins in two wide receiver sets. Higgins was an underrated player throughout the entire draft process, ranking 27th and 16th in yards per route run and first and 18th in receiving grade during his final two collegiate seasons (per PFF). He’s a sure-handed receiver who will become a trusted safety blanket for C.J. Stroud after posting a 2.2% drop rate or lower in each of the last three seasons and a 55.6% contested catch rate in college. The addition of Higgins and fellow former Iowa State wide receiver Jaylin Noel should push Christian Kirk while also hopefully fueling a big bounce-back season for Stroud. Higgins is a WR3/4 that could easily evolve into a weekly WR2 as the 2025 season rolls along.
– Derek Brown
Marvin Mims flashed major upside in the second half of 2024, averaging 62 receiving yards per game and leading all WRs in yards per route run (3.63) from Week 11 onward. He also posted a strong 28% target rate per route run on the year, ranking 13th in the NFL. Still just 23 years old, Mims is a prime third-year breakout candidate in a Broncos offense looking to grow alongside Bo Nix. His preseason usage has indicated he is going to see a full-time role for the first time…
– Andrew Erickson
Demario Douglas is a low-end dice roll receiver in the later rounds this season. He was a flex-viable player at times last season. In his ten full games with Drake Maye starting, he had a 16.3% target share, 1.67 yards per route run, a 19.7% first-read share, and 0.079 first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Nothing jumps off the page there, but he did manage three top 36 wide receiver finishes in those ten contests despite only managing five red zone targets. If Maye takes a big step forward in 2025, Douglas is likely coming along for the ride as a bye-week flex option.
– Derek Brown
Cedric Tillman flashed major second-year breakout potential in 2024, stepping up as the Browns’ top wideout after Amari Cooper’s departure and Jameis Winston’s promotion to QB1. From Weeks 7-12, Tillman averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (WR16), totaling 330 receiving yards and clearly outproducing Jerry Jeudy during that stretch. Unfortunately, a concussion cut his season short, sidelining him for the final six games. Now fully healthy and with past chemistry with Joe Flacco, Tillman is well-positioned to re-emerge as a key piece in Cleveland’s passing game and could be a sneaky value pick in 2025 drafts.
– Andrew Erickson
Keenan Allen returns to the Bolts after a one-year dalliance with Chicago. I’ll lead this off by saying that we can toss Allen’s yards per route run and first downs per route run in the trash as every Bears wide receiver’s efficiency metrics were tanked last year by Caleb Williams’ struggles. Allen finished as the WR31 in fantasy points per game. Among 85 qualifying receivers, he didn’t have any issues still earning volume at a high rate, ranking 20th in target share (23.5%) and 26th in first-read share (28.8%, per Fantasy Points Data). His route running and separation skills remained solid. Among 112 qualifying receivers, he ranked 45th in separation and 40th in route win rate. Last year, his slot rate dipped slightly to 54%. I expect that to creep back up toward the 60% mark in Los Angeles. The Chargers will also likely incorporate more 11 personnel this season after having the 11th-lowest rate of three wide receiver sets last year (56.2%). Greg Roman hasn’t utilized 11 personnel massively in his history, but the Bolts’ ranking 11th-best in EPA per pass last year from 11 personnel could twist his arm. Allen is a WR3/4 who could easily revert back into a solid volume-fueled WR2 with his long-standing rapport with Herbert helping in 2025.
– Derek Brown
Fantasy Football Sleepers: Quarterbacks
Rank | Quarterbacks | Team | Bye | Num Experts | ECR | ADP |
1 | Dak Prescott | DAL | 10 | 22 | 10 | 12 |
2 | Drake Maye | NE | 14 | 17 | 15 | 16 |
3 | J.J. McCarthy | MIN | 6 | 9 | 20 | 19 |
4 | Trevor Lawrence | JAC | 8 | 5 | 19 | 20 |
5 | C.J. Stroud | HOU | 6 | 4 | 18 | 17 |
Drake Maye might not have moved the needle for fantasy in his rookie season, but his performance over 12 starts was impressive considering how terrible his supporting cast was. From Week 6 of last season, when Maye made his first start, through Week 17, Maye averaged a respectable 16.8 fantasy points per game. The third overall pick in last year’s NFL Draft, Maye has immense potential as a passer, but it’s his rushing that should make him attractive to fantasy games. Maye had 421 rushing yards last season, and there’s potential for much more. As a sophomore at the University of North Carolina, Maye had 698 rushing yards in 14 games. Bear in mind that college quarterbacks’ sack yardage counts against their rushing yardage, and Maye lost about 200 yards from his rushing total that year. Maye should have it a little easier in the passing game this year, with New England beefing up its offensive line in the offseason and adding WRs Stefon Diggs and Kyle Williams. It’s possible we get a Drake Maye breakout in 2025.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Yes, I know we haven’t seen J.J. McCarthy play outside of an abbreviated preseason sample last year, but I’ll be targeting him everywhere this season. This should remain a pass-happy offense after ranking eighth in neutral passing rate and third in pass rate over expectation last year (per Fantasy Points Data). The Vikings remain loaded with skill players and added to the offensive line this offseason to give their new signal caller all the time in the world to dice up opposing pass defenses in 2025. Sam Darnold (yes, that Sam Darnold) finished as the QB9 in fantasy points per game last year, continuing a long history of Kevin O’Connel’s quarterbacks finishing as QB1s. I believe McCarthy will keep that streak alive. He was a stellar prospect who has been airdropped into the perfect situation. In his final collegiate season, McCarthy ranked inside the top 12 FBS quarterbacks in passing grade, adjusted completion rate, yards per attempt, adjusted completion rate with downfield throws, and against pressure (per PFF). It’s wheels up for McCarthy in 2025.
– Derek Brown
Will 2025 bring the long-awaited Trevor Lawrence fantasy breakout? The No. 1 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, Lawrence has never finished better than QB12 in fantasy points per game. He was limited to 10 games last year, missing time due to a concussion and an AC joint injury in his shoulder that required offseason surgery. There’s optimism that 2025 will be the best season of Lawrence’s career. New Jaguars head coach Liam Coen coaxed a career-best season out of Baker Mayfield last season in Tampa. And the Jaguars aggressively traded up to the No. 2 pick in this year’s draft to take two-way college star Travis Hunter, with the intention of primarily using Hunter as a wide receiver.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Last year was disastrous for CJ Stroud as he tumbled from the QB7 in fantasy points per game to the QB28. Everything that could have gone wrong did. His offensive line imploded. Nico Collins was in and out of the lineup, while Tank Dell and Stefon Diggs were lost to season-ending injuries. Stroud didn’t help matters with the fifth-highest time to throw and the 15th-highest pressure-to-sack ratio (per Fantasy Points Data). Stroud will operate behind a retooled offensive line in 2025 that honestly couldn’t be worse than what he dealt with last year. The skill player cabinet has been restocked with a nice mix of veterans and youth, with the additions of Christian Kirk, Jayden Higgins, Jayllin Noel, Nick Chubb, and Justin Watson. Everything is setting up nicely for Stroud to make a run as a top-12 fantasy quarterback again this season.
– Derek Brown
Fantasy Football Sleepers: Tight Ends
Rank | Tight Ends | Team | Bye | Num Experts | ECR | ADP |
1 | Tyler Warren | IND | 11 | 22 | 11 | 10 |
2 | Kyle Pitts Sr. | ATL | 5 | 10 | 16 | 16 |
3 | Brenton Strange | JAC | 8 | 11 | 20 | 20 |
4 | Zach Ertz | WAS | 12 | 4 | 19 | 19 |
5 | Hunter Henry | NE | 14 | 6 | 17 | 18 |
Tyler Warren got the ballyhooed first-round draft capital that we all figured he would. The landing spot is rough, though. Indy has a ton of talented pass-catching options that will push Warren weekly for target volume. Michael Pittman and Josh Downs presumably will be above him in the target pecking order. I still love Warren as a player, but I’m worried that he could struggle to live up to the hype that his talent has deserved. The passing volume, quarterback play, and receiving depth chart are all big-time concerns for his 2025 outlook. Last year, Indy had the third-lowest passing rate inside the red zone and in neutral game environments. During his final collegiate season, Warren ranked in the top three among tight ends in yards per route run, receiving grade, missed tackles forced, and yards after the catch (per PFF). Warren is a TE2 that could easily finish as a TE1.
– Derek Brown
In his ninth NFL season, Hunter Henry established new career highs in targets (97), catches (66) and receiving yards (674). He scored only two touchdowns but still managed to finish TE12 in half-point PPR fantasy scoring. Henry quickly developed chemistry with rookie QB Drake Maye, who leaned heavily on the veteran tight end. Maye could take a step forward in his second season, and while the Patriots added WR Stefon Diggs in free agency and WR Kyle Williams via the draft, New England isn’t exactly loaded at wide receiver, so Henry should still have ample opportunity to contribute. If Henry has better luck with touchdowns in 2025, he has a chance to return low-end TE1 value.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Now that Evan Engram has gone from Jacksonville to Denver via free agency, former second-round draft pick Brenton Strange sits atop the Jaguars’ TE depth chart. Strange had 40 catches for 411 yards and two touchdowns last season. In the eight games that Engram missed, Strange averaged 3.6 receptions and 34.4 receiving yards. The possibility of an enhanced role makes the 24-year-old Strange an intriguing TE sleeper.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Zach Ertz still appears to have gas left in the tank at age 34. He had 66 catches for 654 yards and seven touchdowns last season, finishing TE8 in half-point PPR scoring. After scoring only one touchdown over his first 10 games of 2024, Ertz scored six touchdowns over Washington’s last seven regular-season games. He scored another TD in the playoffs and went out with an 11-catch, 104-yard performance in the Commanders’ season ending loss to Ertz’s former team, the Eagles. After playing a full season for the first time since 2021, Ertz agreed to a one-year deal that will keep him in Washington. He and young QB Jayden Daniels developed strong chemistry. Despite his age, Ertz could be a sneaky-good late-round TE option in 2025.
– Pat Fitzmaurice