3 Tricky Decisions for Every Retirement Plan

Retirement planning is complicated.

Fewer retirees can rely on pensions, so more people have to find retirement income elsewhere and navigate issues like managing taxes while withdrawing from different kinds of accounts, when to take required minimum distributions, and determining the appropriate asset allocation for their retirement portfolios.

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Here are three tricky decisions that confront people planning for retirement today.

Decision 1: How Much to Withdraw Each Year in Retirement

It’s impossible to determine the “right” withdrawal rate at the outset of retirement.

A 4% starting withdrawal rate, with annual inflation adjustments to that initial dollar amount, is often cited as a “safe” withdrawal system for new retirees. In 2021, our research suggested that 3.3% was a safe starting withdrawal rate for new retirees with balanced portfolios over a 30-year horizon. At the end of 2024, it was 3.7%. Further complicating matters is that retirees don’t spend the same amount, adjusted for inflation, year after year.

What to Do

Vary your withdrawal rate based on your time horizon. Older retirees with can reasonably take higher withdrawals than should younger retirees with longer expected spending horizons.

Be flexible. Much of the research on withdrawal rates points to the value of being flexible with withdrawals, especially taking less when the portfolio is down.

Maximize nonportfolio income. Most retirees will have some income from nonportfolio income sources: Social Security, a pension, an annuity, rental income, and so on.

Decision 2: Whether to Buy Long-Term-Care Insurance

Long-term care is an uncomfortable topic. The prospect of needing such long-term care is unappealing, and paying for it can be financially devastating. In 2025, Genworth pegged a year’s worth of long-term care at $111,325—up 7% from the previous year. Most such care isn’t covered by Medicare, except for “rehab” following a qualifying hospital stay.

The question is whether and how to protect yourself against those costs. The likelihood of needing long-term care is basically a coin flip: According to a 2019 study, about half of people turning 65 will need some type of paid long-term care in their lifetimes. If I told you the odds were 50/50 that you’d total your car during retirement, there’s almost no chance you’d decide to go without insurance.

Twenty years ago, buying long-term-care insurance was the standard prescription for covering long-term-care costs for middle-income and upper-middle-income adults. (Wealthier people could afford to self-fund long-term-care expenses, while lower-income adults would have to rely on long-term-care coverage via Medicaid.)


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